Central SC vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
COR
0 - 2
CEN
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CEN
4 - 0
COR
52%
26%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 0
CEN
28%
22%
50%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CEN
1 - 1
VIT
42%
27%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
ABC
0 - 0
CEN
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
ABC
10%
20%
70%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 0
AFP
85%
11%
4%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 0
CEN
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 1
AFP
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
AFP
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |