Central United vs Onehunga Mangere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CEN
5 - 0
BAO
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CEN
2 - 0
WAI
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
CEN
4 - 0
NSH
66%
19%
15%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
TAK
1 - 4
CEN
10%
15%
75%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
WAI
0 - 7
CEN
6%
12%
83%
|
63 | 9 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Onehunga Mangere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 3
ONE
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
BIR
0 - 3
ONE
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +3 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
ONE
1 - 0
MEL
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
HCF
1 - 5
ONE
8%
14%
78%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
ONE
6 - 1
TCU
10%
16%
74%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | +2 |