Central United vs Beachlands Maraetai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
CEN
3 - 1
NOR
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 5 | 47 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 8
WAI
84%
11%
5%
|
52 | 7 | 45 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
BIR
4 - 0
CEN
23%
20%
58%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -3 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
NGO
1 - 4
CEN
5%
11%
85%
|
55 | 12 | 43 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CEN
3 - 1
WAI
88%
9%
3%
|
55 | 7 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Beachlands Maraetai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
BEA
2 - 1
WAA
29%
21%
51%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BEA
0 - 1
AUF
7%
12%
81%
|
5 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
BEA
3 - 4
CLA
27%
21%
52%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
NGA
2 - 2
BEA
75%
15%
11%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
NGO
5 - 1
BEA
55%
20%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -2 |