Central Norte vs Sol de América Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
8º
2º
45
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
CEN
3 - 0
BUC
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
JAN
2 - 1
CEN
29%
29%
41%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 1
CDN
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GYT
1 - 1
CEN
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 0
SMA
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sol de América Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
9DJ
1 - 1
SOL
31%
28%
41%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SOL
6 - 1
BUC
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
JAN
0 - 0
SOL
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 0
CDN
31%
27%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GYT
2 - 1
SOL
71%
20%
10%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |