Central Norte vs San Martín Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
6º
1º
25
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 20 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
CEN
23%
28%
49%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 0
JAN
67%
22%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CDN
0 - 1
CEN
22%
28%
50%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 2
SOL
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 4
CEN
16%
26%
58%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
SAR
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
SMA
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 0
JAN
62%
23%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CDN
1 - 3
SMA
30%
30%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 0
SOL
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |