Central Norte vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
RAC
3 - 1
CEN
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 3
CCS
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
JAN
0 - 1
CEN
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 0
GYT
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 0
SMA
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
GAF
2 - 2
SJO
41%
25%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
TFE
1 - 0
GAF
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
GAF
0 - 0
LIB
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 1
GAF
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
GAF
1 - 1
CCS
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |