Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 0-1
Central Español FC vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 3
NAC
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
CEN
0 - 5
DAN
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 0
CEN
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2006 |
CEN
2 - 0
JUN
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 1
NAC
24%
24%
53%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 3
NAC
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
NAC
3 - 0
JUN
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2006 |
REN
3 - 0
NAC
32%
24%
45%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 1
NAC
24%
24%
53%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |