Central Español FC vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
CSC
1 - 0
CEN
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
COL
0 - 1
CEN
41%
27%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
CEN
75%
15%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CEN
3 - 2
PEÑ
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
DAN
0 - 2
CEN
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ROC
2 - 2
DEF
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DEF
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
DEF
1 - 1
BVS
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
DEF
4 - 0
DAN
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
MWA
0 - 1
DEF
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |