Central Connecticut vs Merrimack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
45.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Connecticut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
FBT
1 - 0
CCU
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
CCU
2 - 2
MMM
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Merrimack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
MMM
2 - 3
MMW
15%
18%
67%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
MMW
2 - 1
FBT
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |