Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
52.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
WUF
6 - 2
CCM
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CCM
0 - 3
SYD
13%
22%
66%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
ADE
2 - 0
CCM
77%
16%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
4 - 3
CCM
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CCM
1 - 3
WES
31%
24%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
WPH
2 - 0
WUF
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
WPH
1 - 0
MCI
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
PER
4 - 2
WPH
62%
21%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
WPH
2 - 1
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 0
WPH
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |