Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CCM
1 - 3
SYD
28%
26%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MCI
3 - 1
CCM
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 1
CCM
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CCM
3 - 2
PER
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
CCM
0 - 1
WPH
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 0
WPH
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
WPH
3 - 2
BRI
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PER
1 - 2
WPH
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
WPH
1 - 2
NEW
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
MCI
5 - 1
WPH
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |