Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
ADE
2 - 0
CCM
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CCM
1 - 3
MEL
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 1
CCM
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CCM
3 - 0
NEW
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SYD
0 - 1
CCM
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
WPH
0 - 5
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 3
WPH
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
WPH
2 - 1
ADE
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 1
WPH
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
WPH
5 - 0
MEL
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |