Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
CCM
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CCM
0 - 2
BRI
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CCM
3 - 2
ADE
51%
26%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 1
CCM
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CCM
1 - 1
NEW
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
WPH
0 - 2
BRI
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 2
WPH
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
WPH
3 - 1
MEL
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 1
WPH
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 1
WPH
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |