Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2010 |
CCM
1 - 2
MEL
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
CCM
2 - 0
ADE
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
CCM
1 - 0
NOR
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
PER
1 - 1
CCM
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
CCM
4 - 0
SYD
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
WPH
2 - 0
MEL
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 1
WPH
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
WPH
4 - 0
NEW
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
GOL
2 - 0
WPH
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
WPH
2 - 1
ADE
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |