Central Coast Mariners vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PER
4 - 0
CCM
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CCM
0 - 2
MEL
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CCM
0 - 1
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MCI
4 - 1
CCM
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CCM
2 - 3
ADE
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
POH
0 - 1
SYD
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SYD
1 - 3
WPH
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MCI
3 - 0
SYD
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SYD
2 - 1
GUA
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
SYD
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |