Central Coast Mariners vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
CCM
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
GOL
3 - 3
CCM
32%
29%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CCM
2 - 0
WPH
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
CCM
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CCM
0 - 2
BRI
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SYD
0 - 1
WPH
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 2
SYD
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SYD
2 - 1
PER
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SYD
2 - 5
NEW
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 2
SYD
50%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |