Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
PER
1 - 0
CCM
84%
12%
5%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2020 |
CCM
2 - 4
MCI
11%
18%
71%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 0
CCM
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CCM
1 - 3
WPH
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
WUF
6 - 2
CCM
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
SYD
1 - 2
NEW
58%
22%
19%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 1
MCI
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 0
NEW
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
ADE
0 - 3
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 1
PER
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |