Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
CCM
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
WES
0 - 2
CCM
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2012 |
CCM
1 - 0
PER
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 0
CCM
36%
27%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
WPH
1 - 1
CCM
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 0
BRI
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 0
ADE
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 1
NEW
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 2
NEW
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
SYD
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |