Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ADE
2 - 1
CCM
44%
28%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CCM
1 - 0
PER
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 0
CCM
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
BRI
0 - 1
CCM
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
CCM
3 - 0
WPH
53%
25%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
SYD
1 - 0
NEW
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 2
MEL
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 0
ADE
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
WPH
0 - 1
NEW
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 1
BRI
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |