Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
PER
0 - 1
CCM
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
NEW
0 - 1
ADE
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
SOU
3 - 0
NEW
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
NEW
0 - 2
MEL
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SYD
2 - 0
NEW
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |