Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2015 |
CCM
3 - 1
WPH
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
SYD
4 - 1
CCM
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CCM
0 - 1
BRI
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PER
2 - 1
CCM
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
CCM
1 - 5
MCI
33%
29%
39%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 1
MEL
28%
26%
47%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 1
PER
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MCI
2 - 1
MEL
48%
23%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
PER
1 - 0
MEL
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
WES
2 - 0
MEL
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |