Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ADE
0 - 2
CCM
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CCM
1 - 0
BRI
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
KAR
3 - 1
CCM
60%
21%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SYD
2 - 0
CCM
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CCM
0 - 1
WES
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
BRI
2 - 0
MEL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 3
WES
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 2
ADE
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
WPH
1 - 0
MEL
47%
26%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MEL
3 - 1
SYD
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |