Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 2
CCM
33%
27%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CCM
2 - 1
ADE
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CCM
2 - 1
BRI
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 2
CCM
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
WPH
0 - 1
CCM
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
PER
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SYD
0 - 0
MEL
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 3
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
4 - 1
BRI
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |