Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
CCM
2 - 0
MEL
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
SYD
1 - 1
CCM
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
WPH
2 - 0
CCM
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CCM
1 - 1
ADE
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 1
CCM
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 0
NOR
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 2
PER
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
ADE
3 - 2
MEL
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 1
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 1
CCM
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |