Central Coast Mariners vs Guangzhou City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
CCM
0 - 2
BRI
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CCM
2 - 1
ADE
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CCM
1 - 5
SYD
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CCM
2 - 0
MCI
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
WES
0 - 0
CCM
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 0
WAR
71%
16%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JIA
1 - 3
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
5 - 1
HAR
74%
17%
10%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SHA
3 - 3
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +2 |