Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
12º
2º
17
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
22.5% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
68.5% | 27.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 71.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 1
MCI
49%
23%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CCM
1 - 1
MEL
58%
21%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
WES
0 - 1
CCM
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 2
PER
75%
16%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 3
CCM
31%
26%
44%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
BRI
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 3
MFC
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 2
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
SYD
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
MCI
8 - 1
BRI
58%
22%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |