Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
12º
2º
17
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
22.5% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
68.5% | 27.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 71.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
CCM
11%
16%
73%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
CCM
21%
23%
56%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 2
MFC
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
CCM
6 - 3
PER
84%
11%
5%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
ADE
3 - 0
CCM
32%
26%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
WPH
5 - 2
BRI
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 0
SYD
35%
27%
37%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
BRI
43%
26%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 1
BRI
49%
23%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 1
BRI
6%
13%
82%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |