Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SYD
4 - 0
CCM
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PER
3 - 3
CCM
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
CCM
11%
19%
70%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CCM
2 - 4
NEW
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
WES
4 - 1
CCM
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
4 - 0
BRI
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
BRI
1 - 1
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
BRI
0 - 2
PER
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
WES
5 - 4
BRI
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
BRI
2 - 1
MEL
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |