Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CCM
0 - 3
MEL
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
GOL
2 - 1
CCM
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
CCM
0 - 0
PER
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 5
CCM
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 4
CCM
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
BRI
2 - 0
NOR
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BRI
0 - 1
ADE
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
BRI
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
BRI
4 - 1
WPH
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BRI
0 - 1
MEL
40%
25%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |