Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2008 |
CCM
1 - 0
PER
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 2
CCM
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
WPH
1 - 0
CCM
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CCM
2 - 1
SYD
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
CCM
1 - 1
BRI
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
BRI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
BRI
3 - 2
WPH
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
BRI
2 - 1
NEW
52%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
CCM
1 - 1
BRI
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
SYD
1 - 1
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |