Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
MEL
0 - 2
CCM
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
CCM
1 - 2
ADE
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
CCM
1 - 5
SYD
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
NZK
1 - 3
CCM
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
NEW
1 - 0
CCM
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
BRI
0 - 1
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SYD
1 - 0
BRI
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
MEL
0 - 1
BRI
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
BRI
0 - 0
PER
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
BRI
1 - 2
ADE
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |