Central Coast Mariners vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CCM
2 - 1
WES
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 2
CCM
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
BEI
2 - 1
CCM
61%
21%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CCM
3 - 1
NEW
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
CCM
2 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
SHA
1 - 0
BEI
31%
29%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
BEI
2 - 0
SHA
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
BEI
2 - 1
CCM
61%
21%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
DAL
0 - 1
BEI
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
BEI
1 - 1
FCS
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |