Central Ballester vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
9º
9º
33
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Ballester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
CBA
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CBA
4 - 0
MUÑ
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +4 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 0
CBA
64%
22%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
CBA
1 - 0
SBA
17%
24%
59%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +3 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
CBA
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
MER
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ARR
2 - 2
POR
58%
26%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
JUU
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DPA
0 - 0
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
POR
4 - 3
CES
33%
27%
40%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |