Centenary Stormers vs Virginia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
45.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 1
STO
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
NPI
1 - 2
STO
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
STO
1 - 2
UNI
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
WES
0 - 2
STO
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
STO
1 - 4
SPR
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Virginia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
NPI
1 - 4
VIR
25%
19%
56%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
VIR
3 - 1
UNI
44%
21%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
VIR
3 - 0
SPR
74%
14%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 2
VIR
61%
18%
21%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VIR
5 - 2
ACA
77%
13%
10%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |