Centenary Stormers vs The Lakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
71.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
MGH
3 - 1
STO
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
STO
1 - 2
BRK
50%
20%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
GEO
4 - 1
STO
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
STO
2 - 1
GAP
76%
14%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 3
STO
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
The Lakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
TLA
2 - 1
GAP
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
WES
2 - 3
TLA
9%
15%
76%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
TLA
7 - 1
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
TOO
1 - 5
TLA
59%
19%
22%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
TLA
3 - 2
GEO
23%
22%
55%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |