Centenary Stormers vs Redcliffe PCYC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
31.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NEW
4 - 2
STO
72%
15%
13%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
STO
1 - 4
BRK
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 1
STO
16%
19%
65%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
STO
7 - 1
ACA
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
STO
0 - 3
VIR
34%
20%
46%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Redcliffe PCYC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BRK
5 - 2
RED
73%
14%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
NPI
2 - 2
RED
37%
21%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
RED
1 - 2
UNI
40%
21%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SPR
1 - 2
RED
27%
21%
52%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
RED
4 - 1
NEW
21%
19%
60%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +3 |