Centenary Stormers vs Caboolture analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
39.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
BRK
0 - 2
STO
45%
21%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 1
STO
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
STO
2 - 2
ACA
57%
20%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
BAY
2 - 1
STO
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
NPI
2 - 4
STO
36%
21%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caboolture
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CAB
0 - 2
TAR
24%
20%
57%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CAB
6 - 0
NPI
84%
10%
6%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
BRK
3 - 4
CAB
31%
21%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CAB
0 - 1
GAP
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
BAY
4 - 2
CAB
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |