Centenary Stormers vs Brisbane Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
51%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+241%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 1
STO
16%
19%
65%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
STO
7 - 1
ACA
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
STO
0 - 3
VIR
34%
20%
46%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 1
STO
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
NPI
1 - 2
STO
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Brisbane Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 5
BRK
53%
20%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
BRK
56%
19%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BRK
2 - 0
NPI
73%
14%
13%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
BRK
50%
20%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BRK
8 - 2
SPR
78%
13%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |