Centenary Stormers vs Acacia Ridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
STO
0 - 3
VIR
34%
20%
46%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 1
STO
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
NPI
1 - 2
STO
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
STO
1 - 2
UNI
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
WES
0 - 2
STO
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Acacia Ridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
ACA
75%
14%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 2
MGH
12%
16%
71%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WES
2 - 0
ACA
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 10
BRK
23%
19%
58%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VIR
5 - 2
ACA
77%
13%
10%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |