Centauros vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centauros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
CEN
5 - 3
UNI
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
PAS
1 - 0
CEN
66%
22%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
BOG
1 - 1
CEN
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CEN
4 - 0
BUC
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 1
SFE
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
TFC
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 1
FOR
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 1
UNI
37%
27%
37%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
HUI
1 - 0
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 2
FOR
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |