Centauros vs Academia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centauros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 1
PAT
34%
27%
38%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 1
CEN
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
MIL
4 - 2
CEN
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 2
REA
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEN
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BOG
3 - 1
ACA
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 1
ACA
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 1
ACA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 0
ALI
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
RSC
0 - 1
ACA
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |