CENE vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
OPE
0 - 2
CEN
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 3
OES
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
AQU
2 - 0
CEN
26%
24%
49%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 1
AQU
69%
18%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 1
NAV
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 0
OPE
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 1
MIR
76%
17%
8%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 0
MIR
41%
26%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MIR
3 - 0
ITU
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
MIR
79%
15%
7%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |