Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-4
CENE vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
CEN
24%
25%
52%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
3 - 1
MIS
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
3 - 1
AQU
71%
17%
11%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
CEN
18%
22%
60%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 2
BRA
72%
17%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LON
2 - 0
COT
15%
23%
62%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
COT
2 - 2
PRU
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
COT
2 - 1
OPE
78%
16%
7%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TCW
1 - 3
COT
12%
21%
68%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
COT
1 - 0
JMA
81%
14%
5%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |