Copa Verde Last 16
Global 0-2
CENE vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 2
COS
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
CEN
20%
21%
59%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEN
21%
23%
55%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MIS
2 - 2
CEN
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
AQU
1 - 1
CEN
19%
23%
59%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SOB
0 - 1
BRA
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEN
21%
23%
55%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 2
GAM
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
CEI
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
BRA
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | +1 |