Céltiga FC vs Racing Castrelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
POR
2 - 4
CEL
65%
20%
15%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 1
MOR
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PON
1 - 1
CEL
40%
25%
36%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
CEL
4 - 4
ARN
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
CEL
57%
23%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
CUL
50%
22%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
RIB
1 - 0
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
PON
25%
23%
52%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
UMI
34%
23%
44%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |