Céltiga FC vs Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 3
PON
20%
27%
53%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CEL
3 - 0
CDC
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ALO
4 - 0
CEL
49%
26%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 1
RCV
41%
26%
33%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 1
RIB
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
NEG
1 - 4
BER
31%
27%
42%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
NEG
71%
18%
12%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
NEG
3 - 3
DUB
81%
13%
5%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ASP
2 - 1
NEG
22%
24%
54%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
NEG
1 - 0
CDC
56%
23%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |