Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Celtic vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
CEL
4 - 0
HIB
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
ABE
0 - 1
CEL
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
CEL
2 - 0
HOM
70%
18%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1976 |
CEL
2 - 1
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
STJ
3 - 4
CEL
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
MAG
3 - 1
ZWI
77%
15%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
ZWI
2 - 0
CHL
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
SGD
3 - 0
ZWI
75%
16%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
ZWI
2 - 0
COT
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1975 |
ZWI
0 - 5
BFC
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |