Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 9-0
Celtic vs Valur Reykjavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
6.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
CEL
2 - 1
DUN
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
CEL
1 - 0
STE
90%
7%
3%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
STJ
1 - 2
CEL
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
VAL
0 - 2
CEL
25%
20%
56%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
MHE
1 - 1
CEL
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
VAL
0 - 2
CEL
25%
20%
56%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1975 |
FRA
2 - 3
VAL
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1975 |
VAL
1 - 0
IAA
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
IBV
1 - 2
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1975 |
VAL
1 - 2
FHH
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |