Celtic vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
93
1º
1º
1º
47
3º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
93 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
85 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 6 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
KIL
0 - 5
CEL
33%
25%
43%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
GLA
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 0
HOM
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 2
CEL
28%
23%
48%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 3
CEL
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
STM
2 - 2
HOM
26%
27%
46%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STM
0 - 1
KIL
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 3
STM
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
STM
1 - 2
GLA
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 0
STM
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |