Qualif. Champions Final
Global 3-4
Celtic vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CEL
4 - 2
ICT
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
KIL
2 - 2
CEL
16%
22%
62%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 2
CEL
22%
24%
55%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
QAR
0 - 0
CEL
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 0
ROS
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MFF
2 - 0
GEF
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MFF
2 - 1
GÖT
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
MFF
3 - 0
RBS
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ATV
2 - 2
MFF
22%
24%
55%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
RBS
2 - 0
MFF
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |